Article by Serenity Marshall
Grain Originator
Great Lakes Grain, CHATHAM-KENT - CHATHAM, MUIRKIRK, THAMESVILLE, TUPPERVILLE
As the 2025 planting season wraps up and we continue with side-dressing and spraying, many growers are watching the markets closely, hoping for the familiar buzz of a DTN notification signaling an accepted contract. But unlike previous years, spring pricing momentum has been sluggish, and many are left wondering—will the rally come at all?
Between market uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and record projections on U.S. acreage, grain prices have stayed flat or fallen. If your marketing plan is still waiting on higher prices, it might be time to take a second look.
What to Watch in June
- Seasonal Pricing Trends
Historically, May and June offer solid marketing opportunities. But this year, the trendlines are showing something different. July 2025 corn has dropped 60 cents since February, and new crop November soybeans are down 40 cents. Spring pricing potential has faded as wet weather persists through the Corn Belt, lowering the chance of a drought-driven rally. Watch for a brief pricing window before the calendar flips to July—but manage expectations accordingly.
- Key USDA Reports – June 12 & June 30
These reports are critical and may shape market direction for the rest of the season:
• June 12: The WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) report will update global supply and demand forecasts.
• June 30: The highly anticipated Acreage and Quarterly Grain Stocks reports will offer updates to March planting intentions.
USDA's March projections include:
• 95.3 million corn acres
• 83.5 million soybean acres
• 45.4 million wheat acres
With a corn trendline yield of 181 bushels per acre, the market has little reason to fear a shortfall—unless these numbers shift significantly.
Brazil’s Safrinha Corn Crop The safrinha crop is the largest of Brazil's corn harvest, representing about 80% of their total production. The crop is planted January through March, and harvested June through September, with a majority of the crop finding its way to market during this time. The saturation of the large crop can be very impactful to commodity pricing, as any potential world supply concerns are alleviated. Brazil's safrinha crop plays a significant role in the global corn market, as the country is a major exporter of corn, with China being their largest importer. Reports of the 2024/2025 projections for the safrinha crop continue to grow higher, with forecasts suggesting a record harvest. This can be another reason we expect to see the beginning of a seasonal pricing downfall as June progresses. 
Time for a Marketing Check-In
One of the most common pitfalls in grain marketing is not having a clear exit strategy. As market signals shift, don’t get caught waiting too long. Work with your AGRIS grain originator or representative to set price targets and commitment dates that fit your plan.
Be proactive. Lock in your goals. Make your marketing plan work for you.
Contact your local AGRIS Grain Originator.
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